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Barack Obama presidential campaign, 2008 (2) PDF Print E-mail
Written by Egypt News   
Sunday, 16 November 2008
Opinion polling
The day after Obama's acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention, Obama's Republican opponent, Sen. John McCain, announced his selection of Alaska Gov.
Sarah Palin as his running mate. Almost immediately, the Obama/Biden ticket plunged in the polls: in a Gallup poll of likely voters, the McCain/Palin ticket gained a 10-point lead

The erosion of support for the Obama/Biden ticket was especially pronounced among white women who had previous shown strong support for Hillary Clinton.
However, Obama has regained a lead in the national poll averages and kept it since September 19.

A RealClearPolitics average of fourteen national polls taken between October 29 and November 2 shows an average 7.3% lead for Obama over opponent John McCain.
Obama's highest support in the polling average was 8.2% on October 14.

Among individual polls tracked by RealClearPolitics, Obama's highest support was recorded in a Newsweek poll conducted between June 18 and June 19 and a Pew Research poll conducted between October 23 and October 26 showing a 15% lead.

Gallup has conducted weekly polls of registered voters to measure support among the candidates. The most recent poll conducted between October 27 and November 2 shows 24% of pure Independents support Obama , trailing opponent John McCain's 32% support. Obama's Independent support peaked at 33% the week of October 6-October 12.

A RealClearPolitics average of four national polls measuring favorable/unfavorable opinions taken between October 28 and November 2 shows an average 55.5% favorable rating and 39.8% unfavorable rating.
Obama's highest ratings in the polling average were 61.2% favorable and 32.5% unfavorable on July 8.

As of November 3, 2008, one day before the election, the RealClearPolitics electoral map excluding toss up states shows 278 electoral votes for Obama/Biden, an electoral majority, and 132 electoral votes for opponents McCain/Palin.
Including toss up states, the Obama/Biden ticket leads with 338 votes.

Latest RealClearPolitics results:

Final Results

 

 

Obama

McCain

Spread

Electoral College

 

 

349

163

Obama +186

Battlegrounds

 

% in

Obama

McCain

Spread

Ohio (20)

*

94

51

47

Obama +4.0

Pennsylvania (21)

*

99

55

44

Obama +11.0

Virginia (13)

*

99

52

47

Obama +5.0

North Carolina (15)

 

100

50

49

Obama +1.0

Georgia (15)

*

99

46

53

McCain +7.0

Florida (27)

*

99

51

49

Obama +2.0

Indiana (11)

*

99

50

49

Obama +1.0

Missouri (11)

 

100

49

50

McCain +1.0

Colorado (9)

*

80

53

46

Obama +7.0

Nevada (5)

*

73

56

42

Obama +14.0

* Winner has been declared

 

 

EGYPT NEWS

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