| Barack Obama presidential campaign, 2008 (2) |
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| Written by Egypt News | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Sunday, 16 November 2008 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Opinion polling The day after Obama's acceptance speech at the Democratic National Convention, Obama's Republican opponent, Sen. John McCain, announced his selection of Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin as his running mate. Almost immediately, the Obama/Biden ticket plunged in the polls: in a Gallup poll of likely voters, the McCain/Palin ticket gained a 10-point lead
The erosion of support for the Obama/Biden ticket was especially pronounced among white women who had previous shown strong support for Hillary Clinton.
A RealClearPolitics average of fourteen national polls taken between October 29 and November 2 shows an average 7.3% lead for Obama over opponent John McCain. Among individual polls tracked by RealClearPolitics, Obama's highest support was recorded in a Newsweek poll conducted between June 18 and June 19 and a Pew Research poll conducted between October 23 and October 26 showing a 15% lead. Gallup has conducted weekly polls of registered voters to measure support among the candidates. The most recent poll conducted between October 27 and November 2 shows 24% of pure Independents support Obama , trailing opponent John McCain's 32% support. Obama's Independent support peaked at 33% the week of October 6-October 12.
A RealClearPolitics average of four national polls measuring favorable/unfavorable opinions taken between October 28 and November 2 shows an average 55.5% favorable rating and 39.8% unfavorable rating.
As of November 3, 2008, one day before the election, the RealClearPolitics electoral map excluding toss up states shows 278 electoral votes for Obama/Biden, an electoral majority, and 132 electoral votes for opponents McCain/Palin. Latest RealClearPolitics results:
* Winner
has been declared
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