Financial sector downturn
Many financial institutions had made enormous investments based on the
expected continuation of housing price appreciation. As housing prices
declined, the value of the mortgage-backed securities (MBS)
representing these investments declined and became uncertain
Due to financial leverage, what had magnified profits during the housing boom period now drove large losses after the bust. Financial institutions and investors holding MBS suffered significant losses as a result of widespread and increasing mortgage payment defaults or mortgage asset devaluation beginning in 2007 onward. Financial institutions from around the world have recognized subprime-related losses and write-downs exceeding U.S. $501 billion as of August 2008.
A SEC regulatory ruling in 2004 greatly contributed to US Investment Banks ability to leverage their balance sheets. In exchange for an exemption for their brokerage units from an old regulation that limited the amount of debt they could take on the SEC would obtain greater oversight in the investment activities of the banks. The SEC decided to use the firms' own computer models for determining the riskiness of investments, but then did little to followup on the risky activities that their examiners uncovered.
Profits at the 8,533 U.S. banks insured by the FDIC declined from $35.2 billion to $646 million (89%) during the fourth quarter of 2007 versus the prior year, due to soaring loan defaults and provisions for loan losses. It was the worst bank and thrift quarterly performance since 1990. For all of 2007, these banks earned approximately $100 billion, down 31% from a record profit of $145 billion in 2006. Profits declined from $35.6 billion to $19.3 billion during the first quarter of 2008 versus the prior year, a decline of 46%.
The financial sector began to feel the consequences of this crisis in February 2007 with the $10.5 billion writedown of HSBC, which was the first major CDO or MBO related loss to be reported. During 2007, at least 100 mortgage companies either shut down, suspended operations or were sold. Top management has not escaped unscathed, as the CEOs of Merrill Lynch and Citigroup were forced to resign within a week of each other. Various institutions follow-up with merger deals.
Market weaknesses, 2007
On July 19, 2007, the Dow Jones Industrial Average hit a record high, closing above 14,000 for the first time.
On August 15, 2007, the Dow dropped below 13,000 and the S&P 500 crossed into negative territory for that year. Similar drops occurred in virtually every market in the world, with Brazil and Korea being hard-hit. Through 2008, large daily drops became common, with, for example, the KOSPI dropping about 7% in one day, although 2007's largest daily drop by the S&P 500 in the U.S. was in February, a result of the subprime crisis.
Mortgage lenders and home builders fared terribly, but losses cut across sectors, with some of the worst-hit industries, such as metals & mining companies, having only the vaguest connection with lending or mortgages.
Stock indices worldwide trended downward for several months since the first panic in July–August 2007.
Market downturns and impacts, 2008
The crisis caused panic in financial markets and encouraged investors to take their money out of risky mortgage bonds and shaky equities and put it into commodities as "stores of value". Financial speculation in commodity futures following the collapse of the financial derivatives markets has contributed to the world food price crisis and oil price increases due to a "commodities super-cycle." Financial speculators seeking quick returns have removed trillions of dollars from equities and mortgage bonds, some of which has been invested into food and raw materials.
Beginning in mid-2008, all three major stock indices in the United States (the Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, and the S&P 500) entered a bear market. On 15 September 2008, a slew of financial concerns caused the indices to drop by their sharpest amounts since the 2001 terrorist attacks. That day, the most noteworthy trigger was the declared bankruptcy of investment bank Lehman Brothers. Additionally, Merrill Lynch was joined with Bank of America in a forced merger worth $50 billion. Finally, concerns over insurer American International Group's ability to stay capitalized caused that stock to drop over 60% that day. Poor economic data on manufacturing contributed to the day's panic, but were eclipsed by the severe developments of the financial crisis. All of these events culminated into a stock selloff that was experienced worldwide. Overall, the Dow Jones Industrial plunged 504 points (4.4%) while the S&P 500 fell 59 points (4.7%). Asian and European markets rendered similarly sharp drops.
The much anticipated passage of the $700 billion bailout plan was struck down by the House of Representatives in a 228–205 vote on September 29. In the context of recent history, the result was catastrophic for stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average suffered a severe 777 point loss (7.0%), its worst point loss on record up to that date. The NASDAQ tumbled 9.1% and the S&P 500 fell 8.8%, both of which were the worst losses those indices experienced since the 1987 stock market crash.
Despite congressional passage of historic bailout legislation, which was signed by President Bush on Saturday, Oct. 4, Dow Jones Index tumbled further when markets resumed trading on Oct. 6. The Dow fell below 10,000 points for the first time in almost four years, losing 800 points before recovering to settle at -369.88 for the day. Stocks also continued to tumble to record lows ending one of the worst weeks in the Stock Market since September 11, 2001."
It is also estimated that even with the passing of the so-called bailout package, many banks within the United States will tumble and therefore cease operating. It is estimated that over 100 banks in the United States will close it doors because of the financial crisis. This will have a severe impact on the economy and the consumers. As a result of the crisis it is expected that it will take years for the United States to recover from such a mess.."
EGYPT NEWS
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